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Output Gap

The Bank of Canada defines the output gap as the difference between the economy’s actual output (GDP) and its potential output—the maximum sustainable level of production without causing inflation to rise.

A negative gap means the economy is underperforming, putting downward pressure on inflation #OTBE#.

A positive gap means demand exceeds capacity, pushing inflation upward #OTBE#.

Here's the Bank of Canada's latest estimate for it.

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